Deals on Wheels | The Railway Pipeline

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Source: Portal ClippingMP.
Authorship: Guilherme Soares Dias | Valor Economico

I have recently received an incentive to closely and constantly keep an on the Brazilian transportation sector as a whole — not just what the ALLs and LLXs are up to.

Intercity passenger trains are being readied to circulate again in at least nine Brazilian states with plans under active study. In most of these cases, the intention is to reuse existing freight lines for medium-velocity passenger service. The plans provide for management by private sector concessionaires and ticket prices competitive with intercity buses, in a attempt to take some of the strain off crowded highways.

Brazilian roadways — constantly subject to apocalyptic weather conditions, let it be said — are a nerve-wracking way to get around, although mirabile dictu the rodoviários — bus stations — hum industriously all year long, and especially around Christman, when Northeastern families make the trek to be temporarily reunited.

In all, 1,900 km of so-called “regional trains” will get off the drawing board sometime this year. The federal ministry of transport has detailed plans for six stretches of railway, while SUDECO — the Superintendency of  Center-West Development examines two rail lines in the Brasília region. The state of Minas Gerais is studying three new lines and São Paulo is planning another five.

After a study by BNDES, the national development bank, issued a list of  64 railway lines that could be used to move passengers, the transport ministry chose 14  priority project for evaluation in 2011. Two years later, six of these are underway under the auspices of BNDES and one another, under construction by the state of Minas Gerais, should be ready by the the end 2Q13.

After the studies are conducted, the proposals will be opened up to public discusion, after which the transport ministry intends to assess tender offers for projects starting in 2014. Bids closest to completion so far include the Londrina-Maringá connection, in  Paraná, and the Bento Gonçalves-Caxias do Sul connection, in Rio Grande do Sul, where feasibility studies have been conducted and public audiences will begin next month in which residents and local governments will have their say.

According to Euler Costa Sampaio, coordinator of studies on regional and passenger rail in the transportation ministry, the rail lines will likely operate on the basis of a Public-Private Partnership or a concession model. “We want to take advantage of the new rules for the railway sector, which instituted right of way [for passenger trains] on freight train lines,” he said..

Along certain stretches, such as the connection  Londrina-Maringá, the plan is to create a double-track road, given the heavy cargo loads resulting from the line’s proximity to the Porto of Paranaguá. Studies will show that demand will be sufficient for an all-passenger service, says Sampaio. Estimated demands runs around 36,000 passengers a day and 13 million passengers a year.

Another challenge for the regional lines will be entering urban zones, in places where they might cross paths with municipal transport. “We will have to provide quality and accessibility in order to compete with the interstate bus lines. Fairs will have to be in line with what it costs to travel by bus”, a Transportes official said.

In some cases, such as the Salvador-Alagoinhas connection in Bahia, whose study will be filed in June, indications are that the rail line can be extended another 40 km to Feira de Santana. With its  568,000 inhabitants, the city is the second most populous of Bahia state and is connected to Salvador by Highway BR-324, which sufferes from intense passenger and cargo traffic.

Another stretch of track featured in the  Sampaio reporte is the São Luís-Itapecuru-Mirim triangle, in the northern state of Maranhão, where the largest petrochemical center in the Northeast is under construction.

In addition to the six rail linkages already under study, the transport ministry expects to contract studies for another six: São Cristóvão—Laranjeiras (SE), Recife—Caruaru (PE), Campos—Macaé (RJ), Itajaí— Rio do Sul (SC), Campinas—Araraquara (SP), Santa Cruz—Mangaratiba (RJ), and Bocaiúva—Janaúva (MG).

Os projetos preveem que os trens atinjam de 80 a 140 quilômetros por hora para encurtar, em alguns casos, o tempo de percurso atual. É o caso do trecho entre Brasília e Goiânia que teria viagens de 50 minutos, enquanto as de carro e ônibus duram de duas a três horas. O trecho é estudado pela Sudeco. A linha seria de uso misto, sendo aproveitada para transporte de cargas, com ligação da Ferrovia Norte-Sul em Anápolis (GO), onde está prevista uma parada.

O diretor-superintendente da Sudeco, Marcelo Dourado, ressalta que 6 milhões de pessoas moram no entorno da futura linha e devem ser beneficiadas pelo novo modal de transporte. Ele destaca ainda que haverá melhora no escoamento de produção do agronegócio. A região concentra o segundo Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) meso-regional só perdendo para Rio-São Paulo.

“Essa ligação mais rápida vai incentivar a industrialização e a conurbação da região”, acredita Dourado. Os estudos estão sendo concluídos e a intenção do órgão é que a licitação ocorra até o fim do ano, as obras comecem em 2014 e sejam concluídas em até sete anos. O custo estimado é de R$ 1 bilhão. A Sudeco estuda ainda a ligação entre Brasília-Luiziânia (GO), onde já existe linha férrea e seria necessária adaptação para o trem de passageiros. “Essa seria uma intervenção mais rápida e barata. Seriam necessários dez meses e R$ 90 milhões de desembolsos para viabilizar a linha”, afirma Dourado. O trecho seria atendido por um Veículo Leve sobre Trilho (VLT). De acordo com o superintendente da Sudeco, os dois projetos têm chegada prevista na rodoferroviária da capital federal e devem desafogar as rodovias do Distrito Federal.

O governo federal prevê ainda estudos de um trem ligando as cidades do Triângulo Mineiro e outro mais ousado, da Superintendência do Desenvolvimento do Nordeste (Sudene), que planeja o “Trem da Costa Dourada”, linha de 2 mil quilômetros ligando Salvador ao Delta do Parnaíba (PI) pelo litoral, passando pela maioria das capitais do Nordeste. Apesar do apelo turístico do projeto até mesmo os estudos encontram dificuldade para sair do papel. “O Ministério do Turismo tinha se comprometido a bancar, mas ainda não conseguimos a liberação da verba. Agora estamos negociando com o governo espanhol para financiar os estudos”, diz o superintendente da Sudene, Luiz Gonzaga Paes Landim. Ele garante que o trem é viável e afirma que o projeto poderia ser “fatiado”, com início nos trechos de maior apelo turístico como Salvador -Praia do Forte (BA), Recife-Porto de Galinhas (PE), Natal-Praia da Pipa (RN) e Fortaleza-Canoa Quebrada (CE).

Para o coordenador de transporte de passageiros do Laboratório de Transportes e Logística (LabTrans/UFSC), Rodolfo Philippi, os projetos atuais estudados pelo Ministério dos Transportes terão viabilidade reforçada pelo transporte urbano, uma vez que o aproveitamento de linhas já existentes vai possibilitar estações no centro das cidades. “Em locais maiores como Londrina, Maringá e Caxias do Sul poderá haver mais de uma estação incentivando o locomoção das pessoas dentro das cidades”, diz.

Já o presidente da Associação Brasileira da Indústria Ferroviária (Abifer), Vicente Abate, recorda que nas décadas de 60 e 70 os trens de passageiros chegaram a transportar 100 milhões de passageiros por ano. “Com o desinvestimento do governo na rede, os trens de passageiros foram perdendo competitividade e começaram a ser desativados e foram substituídos pelo transporte de rodovias. Agora devemos ter novo momento de retomada do setor”, considera.

Hoje, apenas duas linhas férreas recebem transporte de passageiros no país: a Estrada de Ferro Carajás, entre São Luís-Carajás (PA), e a Estrada de Ferro Vitória-Minas entre Vitória e Belo Horizonte. Ambas são mantidas em projetos sociais da Vale e movimentam juntas 1,5 milhão de passageiros por ano.

Good fodder for a private Wiki on the subject.

Electricity In the Air | A Hard Charging Government Plan Takes Shape

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“It’s reckless to say that there’ll be rationing, but it’s also reckless to say there won’t be,” –Ricardo Correa, Ativa Corretora

Source: Carta Capital.

President Dilma Rousseff has signed the law that extends the concessions of electricity generators and reduced taxes on the sector in order to offer electricity at a reduced cost to the consumer. Under Law 12,783, date January 11, 2013 and published in the Official Diary on January 14, 2013, generation concessions can be renewed one time only, for a period of 30 years, in order to ensure continuity, efficiency and lower prices.

In order to get their concessions renewed, the concession holders must meet the requirements of the federal energy regulator, ANEEL, with respect to rates and quality of service. ANEEL will also oversee the passing on to the end user of investments needed to maintain the quality of service and continuity of operation of the nation’s hydroelectric plants.

Naturally, capital market operators and the government have sparred over the risks and costs of the new regulatory regime.

As Luis Nassif accuses the mainstream media of exaggerating the risk of rationing due to an unusually dry tropical autumn, stock market analysts interviewed by two reporters from O Globo lament the effects of the new policy on the profitability and dividend payout of the affected companies — colorfully described as a «dividend blackout».

The Panic Newsroom

Andre Barrocal of CartaCapital writes:

What President Rousseff could not have imagined is that 2013 would begin with  electricity transformed into a major headache. This happened thanks to the combination of real factors — hydroelectric construction projects behind schedule and very little water in the reservoirs after a dry spell — together with an erroneous reading of the scenario by certain sectors of the mainstream media, who reported that a return to the energy rationing of 2001 was imminent.

Confident that talk of a return to rationing was «ridiculous», Dilma put together a political initiative while on vacation in Bahia — a vacation she decided to interrupt and return to Brasília to supervise directly. Energy regulators and other officials in the area were instructed to offer reassurances to the public and calm the concerns of citizens and the business community. The keystone of this initiative was a press conference held on January 9 with Mining & Energy minister Edison Lobão “There is no risk of an imminent shortfall and I expect there never will be,” he said.

Absolute confidence, however, depend on the summer rains, which were less than generous in late 2012, to the point that reservoirs … were at their lowest level since 2001. ONS, the National Electrical System Operator, which manages the flow of energy throughout Brazil from areas of oversupply to areas of shortfall, was obliged to modify its planning for this eventuality.

Nassif reprises an embarassing moment for Globo and the Folha de S. Paulo, both of which reported that an «emergency» meeting of the technical oversight committee of the E&M ministry had been called. The meeting was routine and went off as scheduled. Globo, Veja, and the FSP were obliged to issue a correction.

Nassif explains:

The electrical energy market is divided into two segments. There are long-term contracts, negotiated between major consumers — including energy distributors — and their suppliers. The other is the so-called spot market, used for short-term transactions.

Incorrect information such as was published by the FSP can cause volatility in the prices fixed by the spot market. It can also cause companies to suspend investments and activate contingency plans.

In this case, the market was not affected because big business and major investors have their own sources of information, and the Internet was effective in defeating the rumor and correctly reporting the MME’s response to reports on the supposedly «extraordinary» nature of the meeting.

As Bloomberg reported recently, this state of affairs is not exactly a zero-sum game.

A dry spell that’s emptying Brazilian hydropower dams is poised to turn Cia. Energetica de Sao Paulo, the second-worst generator stock last year, into one of the industry’s biggest winners.

Cesp, as the utility is known, and other producers that can sell extra electricity in the spot market may be able to profit after prices surged to a record, said JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Banco BTG Pactual SA. Net buyers of energy in the spot market — from billionaire Eike Batista’s MPX Energia SA (MPXE3) to steelmaker Usinas Siderurgicas de Minas Gerais SA — stand to lose the most, analysts said.

Nassif concludes:

Even so, the inaccurate report was used to support the argument that  problems with energy supply were the result of the plan to cut energy bills — a plan that has not even gone into effect yet.

The Corretores

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Writing in O Globo today – «A Dividend Blackout», how clever –  João Sorima Neto &  Eliaria Andrade round up reactions from major brokerages to the impending implementation of price controls partially subsidized by tax breaks.

Analysts predict shortfall in energy sector dividends in the face of government actions and the risks of rationing.

Oliveira, of the Magliano brokerage house: The brokerage has sold off electricity companies in its portfolio.

After taking a beating in the stock market since September, when the government announced measures to reduce the cost of energy to the consumer, share prices continue to suffer well into the New Year.  In the first seven Bovespa sessions of 2013, shares in energy sector companies lost R$ 2.5 billion in market value. In 4Q2012, the same companies lost $34.8 billion in market capitalization.

In this case, the specter of energy rationing was behind the stampede.  Paradoxical is the situation of a sector that has always proven attractive to investors because of the dividends it pays.  In the current scenario, however, dividends will likely suffer, say experts in the field.  The energy investor, these experts say, will have to carefully select companies whose revenues are less affected by the policy.

—  Before 2011, the electric companies paid dividends of 10% to 12%, on average. That number now stands at 6% to 7%. And some companies may forgo paying dividends altogether  — according to William Alves, an analyst at XP Investimentos.

Dividends are the percentage of company profits distributed to shareholders.  They represent extra income not dependent on the market price of shares.

The electric companies have always paid healthy dividends because  they generated large amounts of cash and required few investments.

Required few investments of themselves, perhaps. Many have taken a beating from a newly activist crew of regulators in recent years over quality of service.

Even now, as I type this paragraph, we are under fire from torrential rains likely to have a dual effect: It will help swell reservoirs and it might well produce those marvelous serial explosion of electrical transformers to which we have become accustomed over the years.

Energy-sector companies were also considered a low-risk, defensive investment, with stable share prices even during moments of market volatility. This has changed, as we have seen in recent months.  [The sector's] stock exchange losses are approaching 50%.

The tumble occurred [in September.] when government action threatened the profitability of these companies, explains Júlio Oliveira, a partner at the Magliano Corretora brokerage house.

In order to reduce electrical bills by 20% starting in February, the federal government rescheduled the renovation of concessions expiring in 2017 or earlier, and ordered generators and transmitters to accept 70% of their current income.  With that, companies that adhere to the new plan will see profits decline.  Energy rationing could also reduce sales and impact profits, although the government denies there is any risk of rationing.

—  Bringing thermoelectric plants online [as a back-up measure]  also concerns the shareholders of the distribution companies.  The cost of production of these plants is much higher, and the sector will have higher costs until rates are readjusted, according to Pedro Galdi, a market strategist at SLW.

The entire sector has suffered in the stock market, but even so, market analysts are not recommending a massive sell-off.  They are closely studying the impact of the regulatory changes on each and every company in the sector and have reached certain conclusions. There is consensus that Eletrobras shares are not a good buy option at the moment.  Some expect that the state-owned company will pay no dividends at all.  The recommendation is for investors in Eletrobras to trade their shares in for other stocks.

— Eletrobras was the first company to adhere to the government reform.  This new reality reduces cash generation, which affects the payment of dividends, says William Alves of XP.

Julio Oliveira, of the Magliano brokerage, believe that if Eletrobras does pay dividends, these will be the minimum demanded by law: 25% of net profits.

CTEEP — the São Paulo energy transmission company —  has already paid out 100% of profits in the form of dividends, but it is highly unlikely to do so again, says Beatriz Nantes, an energy specialist at Empiricus Reserach/Investmania.

According to Nantes, CTEEP’s acceptance of the government plan will affect its earnings. Nantes also does not believe that Eletropaulo will offer satisfying dividends.  CTEEP, though not so heavily affected by the government plan, recently concluded its third cycle of rate readjustments, in which the company’s prices are reevaluated.  The price was cut by 9%, on average.

—  Eletropaulo is no longer a reliable payer of dividends, — Nantes says.

Among those energy-sector stock that may still pay attractive dividends are Tractebel, TAESA and AES Tietê, the analyst says. Nantes believes that these companies were not heavily affected by the government-mandated changes.

The XP brokerage house is recommending Taesa and Tractebel.

Tractebel carries very little debt, which enables it to generate more cash.  The concessions held by Taesa, meanwhile, expire in 2030, which reduces the company’s regulatory risk exposure, says Alves.

Magliano Corretora has removed all energy-sector stocks from its portfolio of recommended investments.

— You should not sit on these stocks for four or five years, especially in view of these changes in the industry.  We have a portfolio of dividend-paying shares that, while not as generous as electricity dividends once were, still present a favorable opportunity cost.

Among these are Ambev, Souza Cruz, Sabesp and Vale. Souza Cruz, for example, will pay 100% of its profits as dividends. This is one option to consider while the profitability of the electric sector remains unclear,  Oliveira says.

Beer, cigarettes, sanitation and nickels. Who can live without them?

«A New Regulatory Framework for Mining and Minerals: Why?»

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… the existence of regulatory agencies in the Brazilian  administrative structure is itself a very controversial issue. After more than 10 years of  institutional experience, the regulatory system has changed and improved but it is still a  very complex problem to balance autonomy and political control. –Rodrigo Abijaodi Lopes de Vasconcellos

Source: Le Monde Diplomatique |  Brasilianas

I think it is fair to say that the current Brazilian federal government, more so than even its predecessor, the Lula regime, is engaged in a systematic overhaul of regulatory agencies intended to cut red tape while at the same time increasing enforcement powers.

Recent newsflow along these lines includes the electricity sector — ANEEL — the telecoms sector — ANATEL — and the petroleum sector — ANP.

I have been too lazy to do the math, but I have the impression that it would show more federal agencies using expanded and expedited powers to levy more sanctions.

The present article is from the lefty Diplo in Portuguese, but is worth a read nevertheless.

A new regulatory framework for mining and minerals: Why?

by Julianna Malerba and Bruno Milanez
Partial translation: C. Brayton

In the process of  creating new mechanisms to ensure the growth rate of mineral exploration, the federal government, citing the generation of revenues that can be used to reduce poverty and social inequality, is in fact fomenting a policy of expropriation against the interests of social movements in mining territories, a policy that is often authoritarian and violent  .

In 2000, the northern state of Pará was producing some R$ 4 billion in minerals. By December  2011, this figure had grown to R$ 25 billion. In the last decade, countless areas of mineral extraction sprang up in Amazônia. In  Carajás, the growth in iron and manganese was accompanied by the opening of new copper and nickel mines. This permitted Vale, which produced not a single gram of copper in 2000, to triple national production of the mineral. In Juruti, Alcoa began mining bauxite, the raw material of aluminum, contributing to production already underway at its mines in Paragominas and Oriximiná.

This boom in mineral extraction is directly connected to the promotion of extractive industries, which are highly energy-intensive. Albrás, for example, which recently expanded the installed capacity of its plant in Barcarena, consumes the same quantity of electrical energy as the cities of  Belém and Manaus combined, and  1.5% of electricity consumption in  Brasil as a whole. (more…)

Journalist Assassinated in Campo Grande

Journo published e-mails allegedly reflecting the buying and selling of judicial orders

Portal IMPRENSA reports:

Late Wednesday night, the owner of electronic news service Última Hora News in Campo Grande, Eduardo Carvalho, was executed in the street in front of his home, according to the Terra news portal.

Eduardo was leaving his home on a motorcycle when he was shot by two men, also on a motorcyle, at around 10:40 p.m. The journalist, a retired military policeman, died on the scene.

Witnesses said that several minutes after the shooting, the two killers returned to the scene to verify that Eduardo was dead. So far there are no suspects or information on a possible motive.

The killers may have returned to police up their brass.

According to Última Hora News, the fleeing bandits dropped a clip of .45 calibre ammunition of the same type used on the  journalist,  The evidence was found by police investigators near the murder scene.

On his site, Carvalho published a number of articles accusing politicians and police of illicit conduct. His reporting was, as a general rule, based on insider information.

IMPRENSA sought site employees for comment, but its calls were not answered.

Carvalho, 51, is said to have carried a .38 revolver after suffering another armed attack, but was carrying it unloaded at the time of the attack.

In a recent case, Carvalho provided evidence to federal police against a local mobster known as «Doctor Joseph» or «Zuzão».

According to Carvalho, Zuzão brokered favorable judicial rulings by judges from the state high court.

In one passage of the recording, Zuzão says he knows who killed the former policeman Serjão, naming rancher Antonio Dameto. In another passage, he said that attorney Paulo Macetti is a confidence man whose business is pitting both sides of a dispute against one another. Judicial rulings are discussed, as was the murder of the journalist Carvalho in Ponta Porã along with his friends.

The material was destined for the CNJ, the ombudsman of the Brazilian judiciary, according to this report.

In a 2010 report, ABC Paraguay referred to Carvalho’s work in a story sketching the outlines of a criminal scheme operating along the Paraguayan border:

PEDRO JUAN CABALLERO. The brother of the man who calls himself the “Godfather” of the Paraguayan border told a Brazilian daily that the weapons, cigarettes, and pirated goods that are regularly smuggled into Brazil will encounter no obstacles so long as brothers José Carlos and Robert Acevedo remain in charge of the senior posts in Amambay.

“If I am partners with him, he uses his influence to look after our shipments of smuggled goods, cigarettes and weapons,” says Nasser Jamil in an article for the Campo Grande daily Ultima Hora News..

The article by Eduardo Carvalho shows that the Acevedos amassed their fortune thanks to smuggling diverse cargos in partnership with Nasser Jamil and developed into a single mob family of border millionaires.

Also in a cursory search of Carvalho’s clipping file: the busting up of a “phony kidnap” scheme.

On 16 November, he published a strongly-worded editorial praising police and prison guards along the lines of “the only good criminal is a dead criminal,” railing against “those human rights assholes.”

In August, Carvalho unleashed a broadside against a competing publication, Mídiamax, which had run a video allegedly showing the state governor meeting with state employees and illegally instructing them how to vote and canvass for one candidate in a mayoral election.

The extrajudicial expert examination of the video, delivered by Governor André Puccinelli (PMDB) this morning at the Campo Grande court house, refutes the Midiamax version of events. The expert examination was signed by Fernando Machado Klein and was exclusively aired by UH NEWS. .

The examination is part of the evidence in the criminal case and adds new facts to the initial accusation brought by Governor Pucinnelli against Midiamax and journalist Pio Redonndo.

The trial seeks to establish the truth and condemn the defendants for having manipulated the reader with sensationalism devoid of objectivity in its reporting on the video, which it presents as the “original.” Attorney Luís Cláudio Alves Pereira has requested the defendants be punished for violations of Articles 138, 139, 140 of the Code of Civil Procedure as well as Article 69., pede em sua peça inicial que ambos sejam enquadrados nos artigos 138, 139, 140 do C.P.P bem como no artigo 69.

These legal references are to criminal libel and related misdeeds.

The governor argues that the meetings were limited to political issues and that there no one was coerced or coached about their politicial choices, and that no one was required to attend the meeting.

The PT on Case 470 | Double Standards and Undue Process

The balck-box recording equipment used to capture a bribe paid to a Brazilian post office official in 2005 — a case that mushroomed into the «big monthly payola» scandal. This and other tapes were recorded and used by Carlinhos Cachoeira to blackmail potential political, business and criminal rivals.

Imagine if I were one of Nixon’s men — say, chief of staff and unofficial treasurer of the Bebe Rebozo memorial slush fund.

Substitute Abramoff or Duke Cunningham or whatsoever smooth political operator you recall with fondness.

The point is that for my alleged misdeeds, in the worst of cases, under U.S. law, I would be dragged before a court and made to explain myself to a jury of my peers.

Fortunately for me, these fine fellow citizens would be sworn to come to a unanimous agreement as to my guilt before the uniforms are allowed to haul me off to jail. Even there, I would still have an opportunity to appeal up the ladder, possibly even to the Supreme Court

Today, an official statement by Brazil’s ruling PT — Workers Party — makes a similar comparative point regarding the ongoing mensalão trial. (more…)

«Brazilian Sugarcane Procesors Reopen Talks With Creditors»

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Brazilian sugarcane procesors reopen talks with creditors  — Portal ClippingMP. Original source: Valor Econômico, 10-30-2012. My translation.

Few of the Brazilian sugarcane ethanol plants that filed for bankruptcy at the outset of the crisis in 2008 have been able to comply with the payment plans agreed upon with creditors.

At the present moment, there are 37 Brazilian processing plants in bankruptcy, comprising 11% of the sector as a whole. Sector companies say that margins have been squeezed in the last two years by rising costs and falling sugar and alcohol prices.  The result is that quite a few of these companies are now renegotiating debt amounts and deadlines with their creditors. (more…)

Purloined Letters | The Furnas List

The Furnas List is an episode worthy of Poe’s “The Purloined Letter.”

Political overtones aside, Brazil’s “big monthly allowance” trial should offer some insights into the theory and practice of political money laundering under Brazilian law.

The self-same scheme, allegedly operated inside an ad agency serving state-run firms, appears to have served both the PSDB-DEM coalition, in 1998 and 2002, and later by the PT coalition, starting in 2003. In both cases, it seems, funds were used to pay off campaign debt.

In both cases involving the PSDB-DEM, the case has been divided along the lines of individual indictments, to be tried separately in lower courts except where defendants have a form of legislative immunity that designates the Supreme Court as the trier of fact.

The PT case, meanwhile, has been treated by the Brazilian federal prosecutor as a RICO-equivalent conspiracy with 38 defendants and is being tried the Supreme Court, with ample media coverage.

Partisans of the PT point to a double standard — and not without some justification. The so-called “big monthly alliance of the Toucans” — mascot of the PSDB — in currently underway in a Belo Horizonte federal court, with practically zero publicity.

In this context, the story of the so-called Furnas List is like some forgotten chapter of the Da Vinci Code, or a chapter from the diary of Vlademiro Montesino, spymaster to Peru’s Fujimori.

The list purports to detail a complex scheme of illegal campaign contributions funneled through a state-run energy company, Furnas, to the PSDB — the center-right social democratic party — and its allies in 2002.

Where the story gets all postmodern is over the issue of the authenticity of this list.

What the Furnas case comes down to is a case of dueling experts in which one examination — paid for by the PSDB and released late last year — has never been fully disclosed.

Precedent: The Phony Swiss Bank Account of President Squid

The case resembles a manufactured scandal from 2006 in which forged documents were splashed all over the cover of Veja magazine, purporting to document the illegal Swiss bank accounts of senior government and police officials.

Justifying the publication of this disinformation, Veja claimed that private experts employed by it had been unable either to confirm or deny the authenticity of the clumsy forgeries.

As to the Furnas list, in late 2011 and early 2012, Veja magazine and the Estado de Minas daily used the findings of an American document examiner — an ex-Secret Service agent, Larry F. Stewart — to challenge its authenticity, even though, as the Folha de S. Paulo reported in 2006, federal police examiners had authenticated it five years prior to that date.

«The Polícia Federal confirmed yesterday [-- 15 June 2006 --] the authenticity of the so-called “Furnas List”, a five-page document reflecting alleged campaign donations as part of an off-the-books finance scheme for the 2002 elections. All in all, the list reflects cash flows of R$ 40 million.»

The breakdown of payments is ilustrated above.

The scheme in this case is relatively simple to understand: The Furnas list allegedly shows kickbacks collected  from suppliers and contractors and funneled the funds to a list of PSDB and allied candidates.

The attempt to undermine this evidence smacks of disinformation.

«According to PF public relations in Brasília, an examination by the National Criminalistics Institute INC concluded that the list was not forged and that the signature of Dimas, former engineering director of the state-owned electric company Furnas, was genuine.

«The PF said, however, that there was no way to verify the contents of the document. The document refers to companies that allegedly cooperated with a slush fund managed by Dimas Toledo.»

Above, a document circulated by dirty bloggers showing that Larry F. Stewart was charged with perjury in his expert testimony before a federal court in 2004.

The case was, in fact, the high-profile prosecution of TV home economist Martha Stewart for insider trading.

In his testimony, Stewart claimed to have been actively involved in testing and examination in which he allegedly played no part.

Adversaries of the PT say the attempt to undermine Stewart’s credibility is a desperate attempt to perpetuate a «big lie» strategy.

And in fact, as his defenders point out, Stewart was acquitted of perjury in this sideline to the Stewart case, but not before he was suspended from his Secret Service job.

«Because the gringo’s examination was extrajudicial, the PSDB and DEM in Minas are suspected of having provided the expert with a “xerox” of the original, leading to the self-evident conclusion: that the originality of a copy cannot be attested. »

 

The leader of the Workers’ Party in the state legislature of Minas Gerais, Rogério Correia, was having a rough year.

In December 2011 Veja magazine made a public accusation. Headlined “The Forgery Plot” and bylined to Gustavo Ribeiro and Rodrigo Rangel, the article suggested that Correia was one of the masterminds of the forgery, produced by lobbyist Nilton Monteiro, of what came to be known as the Furnas List, a document containing the names of alleged beneficiaries of an off-the-books finance scheme used by the PSDB during the 2002 elections.

At the time, Veja’s report was criticized by bloggers who argued that the article was more like a novel, filled with adjectives and insinuations. Naturally, this rebuttal did not receive equal time, but it did point out one highly significant fact that Veja had left out:

Veja omitted to inform that a judicial ruling by judge Maria Luiza Marilac Alvarenga de Araújo had found Monteiro innocent, in a case in which he was accused by ex-PFL federal deputy José Carlos Aleluia of having forged the Furnas list. Along with other evidence, the not guilty verdict was based on the existence of a forensic document analysis by the federal police and the justice ministry. … This analysis pointed out that there were no signs of tampering; that Dimas Toledo’s signature was genuine; that the penmanship was entirely consistent with the signatures and initials on each page; that the printing of its five pages indicated they were produced by the same printer; that the ink used for signatures, initials and marginal notes were the same; and so on.

The following week, Veja returned to the Furnas list, saying that it had been forged in order to protect former president Lula during the “big monthly allowance” crisis.

Shortly thereafter, the daily O Estado de Minas ran a series of reports suggesting that Nilton Monteiro had attempted to collect a debt owned him “for supposed services rendered” to Rogério Correia. The Minas Gerais daily called for the impeachment of the PTista.

That was the cue for the PSDB to present a motion in the state assembly, where the PSDB tendency led by Senator Neves has an ample majority.

At around the same time, PSDB leadership paid R$ 200,000 to a U.S. expert, who concluded that the list was a crude fake. According to Rogério Correia, the examination was performed on a xerox copy.

“It [my impeachment] failed to go forward only because the plot behind it was laid bare. The document examined by the federal police was demonstrably authentic. O state high court [of Minas Gerais] had already heard and ruled on a case against Monteiro for the alleged forgery, and had declared the list authentic. What also helped save was the backing I recieved from the PT, PCdoB, PMDB and civil society”, Correia says.

Looking back, Correia describes how the political ambush worked. Em retrospectiva, ele identifica como teria se dado a armação política:

1. A civil police agent from the Special Operations Department — described by Correia identifica as the “political arm” of the Minas Gerais state police — had reportedly obtained transcripts from court-ordered wire taps targeting Nilton Monteiro. The court-supervised recordings were part of an investgation into a campaign finance scheme that was summarized by the Furnas list.

2. These transcripts were taken out of context in the Veja magazine pieces in order to link them to the accusations that Correia was part of the scheme.

3. The repercussions of the Veja story in the media of Minas Gerais created a climate of opinion favorable to impeachment.

The timing of these maneuvers leads Correia to speculate that what the PSDB wanted ways to pressure federal attorney Andrea Bayão Ferreira, who was preparing charges based on the Furnas list in Rio de Janeiro — charges filed earlier this year, as Amaury Ribeiro Jr. of Hoje em Dia reported.

Since being accused by Veja in late 2011, however, Correia’s situation has turned around.

The federal police probe of numbers racketeer Carlinhos Cachoeira in Goiás and the DF has shone light on the magazine’s “investigative” methods.

The federal prosecutor’s charges based on the Furnas list presented two especially important new facts

(1) The official forensic examination — according toRogério Correia,the only such test performed on the original of the Furnas list — found no signs of tampering and confirms the signature of Dimas Fabiano Toledo, the former engineering director of Furnas accused of organizing and collecting payments from the company’s suppliers.

(2) Contrary to what Veja published, the transcripts of wire taps targeting Nilton Monteiro show that he believed in the authenticity of the list. According to Correia, there was nothing in those transcripts to corroborate the accusations against him. According to Amaury Ribeiro Jr., the federal prosecutor wrote that“during the interception of phone lines used by Nilton Monteiro, nothing was unconvered that would indicate the list was false. On the contrary, in his conversations, including conversations with his wife, he maintains that the list is authentic.

The PT’s Correia also sued O Estado de Minas successfully for the publication of a right of reply. After more than four months, however, the newspaper has not published it. It has instead paid a fine of R$10,000.

In its sentence, the state high court pointed to expressions used to describe Correia in the newspaper’s coverage, which it said “injustly accused the plaintiff of criminal actions, as well as “injuring and defamining him.” “desrespeito e desfaçatez”; “ridícula demonstração de desfaçatez na Assembléia”; “desrespeitando aquela Casa e a inteligência do povo mineiro”; “encenação”; “deformada noção de compromisso com a ética e com o interesse público”; “prática de denúncia irresponsável”; “método de ação eleitoral próprio dos despreparados para vida parlamentar e o exercício do poder político”; “despudor de articular sórdida montagem”; “farsa petista”; “montagem de fraude”; “Rogério Correia (PT), patrono da iniciativa”; “O deputado (…) tentou mais uma vez enganar de boa-fé de seus colegas” (f. 06 e 09-TJ).

Rogério Correia is now weighing whether to file a criminal complaint against the newspaper’s executive management for failure to comply with a court order.

He is also suing Veja for libel.

As to the list, Correia says there are strong indications that the numbers it presented correspond to donations actually delivered:

(1) Former federal deputy Roberto Jefferson confirmed receiving the R$ 75,000 attributed to him. ” Roberto Jefferson, who was helping the PSDB accuse the PT, by the way, said that he himself had received the amount listed. They are trying to gloss this over,” said Correia.

(2) State legislator Antonio Julio, of the PMDB, who is listed as having received R$ 200,000, confirms requesting the funds from Furnas as an investment in the reform of a hospital, which did in fact take place.

According to the list, the presidential campaign of José Serra PSDB à Presidência, José Serra, received R$ 7 million, while the gubernatorial campaign of Aécio Neves received R$ 5.5 million.

At one point, I asked the congressman:

“Were you nearly impeached because of a false accusation.”

Correia: “Yes, a false accusation.. The political wing of the state judicial police, through police official Márcio Simões Nabak, published falsehoods in Veja magazine and the daily Estado de Minas, upon which the PSDB moved to impeach me. It was all a setup!”

This was allegedly part of a fraudulent arrest of lobbyist Nilton Monteiro by the state police, accusing Monteiro of forging documents not related to the Furnas list. At the time, the police revealed the existence of a notarized document indicating that Monteiro was trying to collect a debt from Correia.

Correia admits to knowing Monteiro and says the lobbyist told him about slush funds used by the PSDB in Minas during the elections of 1998 and 2002. He says, however, that he never owed a debt to the lobbyist and suspects that the accusation was made as a basis for expelling him from the legislature.

“When they arrested Monteiro, they made a point of shifting the focus to the Furnas list, which is an obvious case of legal error. They turned Nilton Monteiro into a political prisoner. They were investigating a matter outside of their jurisdiction,”, afirma Correia said.

Nilton Monteiro, who is currently free, denies all the charges. The lobbyist sent a letter to the state assembly of Rio de Janeiro charging that while he was under arrest, he was taken to the headquarters of DEOESP, where Nabak is in charge, and had met with three federal legislators from the PSDB. These allegedly pressured Monteiro into denying the authenticity of the Furnas list and incriminating Rogério Correia.

“You need to recognize the gravity of the situation What Monteiro is alleging has not yet been proven. Monteiro, however, says that he met with the three PSDB deputies in Nabak’s office,” the PT leader says.

According to Rogério Correia, the worst part was that the allegations against him continued, albeit in a stealthy manner.

The August edition of Piauí magazine published a report on the parallel “big monthly allowance” case in Minas Gerais, in which a PSDB campaign finance scheme was run by publicist Marcos Valério.

NB: Don’t confuse the 1998 cash pipeline with the Furnas List episode of 2002.

The two cases have some characters in common: Rogério Correia , for example, denounced both of them.

Nilton Monteiro, who has for many years worked behind the political scenes, was involved in both.

In 1998, in the case of the Minas Gerais cash pipeline, Cláudio Mourão was campaign treasurer for the reelection of governor Eduardo Azeredo. Azeredo lost the elections and left some financial matters unresolved, including matters involving Mourão. In 2005, Mourão appeared before the Supreme Court to claim a debt of R$ 3.5 million. This was the origin of the “Cláudio Mourão List”, which Nilton Monteiro turned over to the federal police.

Roughly speaking, the cash pipeline functioned as follows: the advertising agency of Marcos Valério would mingle money from loans taken out from the Banco Rural with millions of donations from state-owned companies in Minas, destined for the motocross event. These funds were transferred to the Azevedo campaign. The mining company Comig, the sanitation company Copasa, the Bemge bank and the electricity company Cemig together donated R$ 5.1 million. Forensic accounting shows that less than R$ 100,000 of these funds were passed along to the motocross event.

In all, the scheme allegedly moved R$ 100 million in order to finance national and state campaigns of PSDB and allied candidates. This took place in 1998, when Fernando Henrique Cardoso was up for reelection.

Valério allegedly paid off 179 persons and corporate service providers to the Azeredo campaign, whose names were recorded in the Mourão List.

FOr his involvement in the Minas “cash pipeline” Senator Azeredo was charged with embezzling and money laundering in the Supreme Court. The accusation was accepted by a vote of 5-3.

In an interview with Piauí’s Daniela Pinheiro, Azeredo commented on the bill of impeachment filed against him by the PSOL — it was voted down — and the support he received at the time: “It wasn’t that capita-S Support, but it did help. I had the support of the party as well. Sérgio Guerra, Serra, those party members supported me. But one of them failed to support me”.

Azeredo didn’t say who left him exposed when the chips were down. Was it Cardoso, who said at the time, “Let whoever owes a debt pay what he owes”? Or was it Aécio Neves?

Azeredo’s mysterious comment may not bode well for the PSDB. It makes sense for the party to close ranks and support Azeredo. His defense depends, in party, on the theory of forged documents.

In his Piauí interview, Azeredo said that the Mourão list is a “spurious document fabricated by a well-known Minas lobbyist at the behest of a PT lawmaker.”

Rogério Correia believes that Azeredo may be referring to him.

He denies being the author of this list, but admits that he was looked into the case, focusing on Cemig’s role in financing the PSDB’s 1998 campaign.

The PT lawmaker says he obtained detailed information on the flows of money to and from Cemig by way of the SMP&B ad agency. Correia claims that there is documented proof of deposits funneled to and used by the current mayor of Juiz de Fora, Custódio Mattos.

Correia also says there are no such indications in the case of Aécio Neves, who in 1998 was a federal deputy standing for reelection and who appears on the Mourão list as having received R$ 110,000.

Aécio is a potential presidential hopeful for 2014.

As to the PSDB senator, Correias has no doubts: “He [Aécio]  is behind this campaign,” that is to say, the campaign to undermine the credibility of the documents and of anyone accusing the party of maintaining an off-the-books campaign finance operation in Minas Gerais.

Over the past decade, Minas journalists have on several occasions protested the hardball tactic’s of Neves’ sister, a top PR professional working on the governor’s campaigns.

Correia says: “Look, the situation here in Minas is serious, we are not living under the democratic rule of law as we should be. In Minas, the press is virtually dominated by the PSDB, and the Neves group in particular. The daily O Estado de Minas is the clearest example of this.

Nothing gets published without passing through their censors first, a process that escalates during election seasons. Press censorship is deployed on a grand scale and, together with a state police that has been used to create political factoids in favor of the PSDB, has created a political faction inside the state judicial police.

This is extremely troubling. «Using a local newspaper and based on articles published in Veja magazine, this scheme is pressing for the impeachment of a duly elected legislator who is merely trying to do his job, which is to investigate charges that slush funds were used in the 1998 and 2002 elections.»

 

Sixth Commandment | Death Squads of Goiás

Attorney David Sebba Ramalho was executed in the parking lot of a supermarket by a military police intelligence team, having just returned from visiting his pregnant wife. His son would be born 14 minutes after his murder. These sorts of cases create public revulsion and a sense of insecurity. –Zé Dirceu

 

Workers’ Party (PT) leader Zé Dirceu — an assiduous political blogger as well as the principal defendant in the «big monthly allowance» case — claims that governors and mayors of the rival Social Democrats (PSDB) have failed to rein in police violence, corruption and criminality in recent years.

This is not the same as arguing, based on reliable statistics, that governors from Dirceu’s party have succeeded in doing so. The same goes for Dirceu’s attempt to link the death squad case — known as Operation Sixth Commandment and dating to February 2011 — to the current scandal involving the governor of Goiás, known as Operation Monte Carlo and focused on an extremely influential numbers racketeer.

Still, two facts continue to impress, with regard to S. Paulo, at least: that fatal police violence has failed to decline in step with the decline in homicides, and that 30 of 31 subprefectures of the city of S. Paulo are occupied by ranking military police officers, mostly colonels.

The subprefects are appointed, not voted on. PDT mayoral candidate Paulinho da Força is calling for elections to these offices.

Dirceu:

Mauro Rubem is a comrade, a member of the PT national board and a state lawmaker in Goiás, where he presides over the human rights committee.

Mauro Rubem’s work with the committee has called attention to death squads organized by state military polices and called for punishment of troopers involved in the federal police, in which several PM senior officers were arrested but were later released without due process.

At the time of these arrests, in 2011, and because of his activism, Mauro Rubem received threats against his life, the lives of his aides, and the lives of other officials, threats aimed at intimidating him and preventing him from acting.

As a result of these threats, important human rights activists, such as Father Geraldo Labarrére and Sister Ana Vicenzait, were obliged to move to another state. In the interim, new cases of disappearances involving police arose — some 36 cases in all.

The issue has flared up again recently because of Operation Monte Carlo, the subsequent parliamentary commission of inquiry (CPI) into numbers racketeer «Charlie Waterfall», and the work of our comrade Mauro Rubem in the state assembly.

The PSDB state government, led by Marconi Perillo, backs and defends this approach to public safety. This government effectively washed its hands of Operation Sixth Commandment and ignores the fact that Monte Carlos led to the arrest of numerous police and to suspicions against the governor himself, whose involvement with Charley Waterfall is common knowledge.

Again, nothing has surfaced in press coverage to suggest a link between the two cases, although jogo de bicho has historically gone hand in hand with hit squads in other cases, such as Mato Grosso’s João Arcanjo “O Comendador” Ribeiro — the subject of Operation Noah’s Ark in 2002.

The Comendador had begun his career as a corrupt state judicial police officer and muscle for the bicho bankers of Mato Grosso do Sul, expanding the business into the state’s northern neighbor of Mato Grosso.

A few years back, when a top aide to the state judicial police chief of Rio de Janeiro was assassinated, he was discovered to be a leading figure in the caça-níquel — one-armed bandit —  business and the militia movement.

The Estadão fills in some of the background on Sixth Commandment.

Investigations began in 2010. Federal police say the criminal organization was habitually homicidal. Among its victims were children, teens and women with no criminal background. The feds also say that investigation shows military police carrying out executions while on duty, using police vehicles for these and other activities not connected with official duties.

Among those investigated are the second in command of the PM Goiás, a former state secretary of public safety, and the former state treasurer of Goiás, suspect of influence peddling in the promotion of members of the death squad. Federal police say these crimes go back ten years or more.

The feds and the state secretary of public safety are beginning a search for persons who  disappeared after being approached by police and have created a special tip line for the public to send in information. Anonymity is guaranteed. The e–mail address is denuncia.srgo@dpf.gov.br.

There should be a phone number, too … but not a Twitter #hashtag, please

CartaCapital | «Scheme Paid Off Supreme»

Above: «Mendes appears on a list of slush fund recipients en 1998. The list includes Jorge Bornhausen, Agripino Maia, Walfrido de Mares Guia, the Cardoso reelection campaign, and many others.»

Brazil’s little newsweekly that could brings to light what it characterizes as, roughly translated, «slush fund» accounting documents reflecting payouts to current Supreme Court justice Gilmar Mendes by a Minas Gerais political machine, the same scheme that would later surface in a subsequent election finance scandal involving the PT political party and its allies.

The trial of defendants in the latter case is to commence next week.

CartaCapital is calling for Mendes to recuse himself.

The magazine has, it should be said, been a consistent thorn in the side of the justice, questioning, for example, his relationship with the disgraced senator Demóstenes Torres in another current scandal, the Charlie Waterfall numbers racketeering case. (more…)

Veja Só | Bolivarian SLAPP Suit x Brazil’s Incredible Newsweekly

More innovative legal responses to perceived misconduct by big corporate media down South American Way:

I will translate a passage or two.

The Bolivian government announced on Monday that it will sue Veja magazine over an article alleging the involvement of a government minister, Juan Ramón Quintana, with a Brazilian drug trafficker. The Brazilian newsweekly charged, based on unidentified sources within the Bolivian police, that the crime figure met with Quintana in 2010 in the Bolivian city of Santa Cruz at a time when the Bolivian was directing Ademaf [ ... ]

ADEMAF = «Agência para o Desenvolvimento das Macrorregiões e Zonas Fronteiriças», Agency for the Development of Macro-Regions and Border Zones.

(more…)

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