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Dilma Down, Opposition Downer

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The Folha de S. Paulo is famous for its hapless approach to the facts — as last week, when the paper published a survey purporting to show that 70% of Brazilians believe that women who dress sexy are “asking for it.”

The obverse is true, the research company hastened to clarify, but the local factoid factory does not grind to a halt for minor junk like that.

How otherwise to explain how the Datafolha survey — released on April 2 — changes the subject when it comes to light that the incumbent president should easily prevail in the first round of the election, according to the latest data?

The Estado de S. Paulo — a conservative daily and news agency that carries out the mission of a political opposition with dignity and clarity — reported the story in just that manner. The Folha was another matter. The following translated selections draw on Vera Magalhaes and her influential column Poder (power) for the Folha.

United by destiny: Nearly two thirds of those who say they will vote for Eduardo Campos (Socialist) told the Datafolha polling firm that they would not vote for incumbent Dilma Rousseff “no matter what.” His numbers are close to those who prefer Aecio Neves (Social Democratic) to the Workers Party president, whose negatives increased to 70%. The survey shows that in the event of a second round with Dilma as its candidate, Campos would receive 54% of the Neves voters counted on by the Social Democrat candidate (up from 48%.)  Stacked up against the opposition candidate, Dilma would receive the same 54% of Campos voters– a margin that has not changed since February.

LEDE: Dog bites man! Or, Extra! Extra! Nothing has changed! Or, let us beat  the obvious totally senseless: 70% of anti-Dilma, pro-Neves voters are not planning to vote for Dilma!